Qatar’s real GDP grew 6.5 per cent, spurred by double-digit growth in construction, wholesale trade and hospitality, and financial, real estate, and business services, said a report.

Maintaining its strong growth momentum, the real GDP growth is likely to hit 6.8 per cent this year as well as the implementation of large infrastructure projects and higher population continue to drive double-digit growth in the non-hydrocarbon sector, according to Qatar National Bank (QNB).

Qatar’s economy continued to maintain its strong growth momentum in the fourth quarter of 2013 expanding at a buoyant 5.6 per cent (year-on-year) in the last three months of 2013, stated the report citing figures released by the Ministry of Development Planning and Statistics (MDPS).

The growth figures for the fourth quarter of 2013 confirm the continued process of economic diversification of Qatar’s economy away from its traditional role as a hydrocarbon exporter toward a manufacturing and services hub.

The oil and gas sector contracted by 1.1 per cent year-on- year in the fourth quarter, reflecting a fall in oil production, the temporary halt of a number of LNG trains for maintenance, as well as the moratorium on further exploration of the North Field, stated the QNB report.

At the same time, wholesale trade, hotels and restaurants was the fastest growing sector (19.3 per cent year-on-year), predominantly on the back of the double-digit increase in population.

Financial, real estate, and business services was the second fastest growing sector (18.1 per cent year-on-year) as banking intermediation accelerated and real estate services were boosted by the growing population.

Construction activity expanded by 15 per cent year-on-year as Qatar’s infrastructure investment program is gathering momentum. Furthermore, transportation and communication increased by 8.4 per cent year-on-year primarily owing to increased passenger flows through Doha international airport.

Looking forward, the acceleration in economic activity in the near-term is expected to be primarily driven by the implementation of additional large infrastructure projects in the non-hydrocarbon sector. The largest projects are mainly in the transport and real estate sectors. Qatar Rail is constructing the Doha metro network.

The public works authority is modernizing a network of expressways (30 major projects), local roads and upgrading existing roads. Work is also being finalized on the new Hamad International Airport due to open later this year.

At the same time, a number of large private-sector real estate projects are under construction, the largest of which is Lusail, a waterfront development to the north of Doha, which will include commercial and residential districts.  

This large infrastructure investment program will have a direct effect on growth through higher investment spending and an indirect effect through population growth.

According to QNB, a new wave of expatriate workers is coming into Qatar to respond to higher labour demand from infrastructure spending. This increased level of job growth should boost aggregate domestic consumption, which will be a key driving force of non-hydrocarbon GDP growth over the medium term.

"We expect population growth to reach 10.1 per cent in 2014 and average 7.8 per cent in 2015-16, adding to domestic demand. Overall, with strong growth, moderate inflation and high current account surpluses, Qatar’s economic momentum in the near term is expected to strengthen even further," the country's top lender stated.

Large-scale infrastructure spending, as highlighted by the newly released budget 2014/15, will drive the expansion in construction and transportation, while strong population growth leads to higher aggregate demand for housing, financial, retail and social services, it said.

Whilst the government, said QNB, has a key role to play in infrastructure development, other sectors are mostly going to benefit from private sector investments.

"For instance, small and medium-sized enterprises, such as hotels, medical services, retail and restaurants are expected to flourish in order to cater to the growing population," it added.-TradeArabia News Service