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Per-Ola Karlsson

Global CEO turnover hits record 17.5pc in 2018

DUBAI, May 27, 2019

CEO turnover hit a record high of 17.5 per cent in turbulent 2018 but there is a group of executives holding steady according to the 2018 CEO Success study released by Strategy&, part of the PwC network.

The study, which analyzed CEO successions at the world’s largest 2,500 public companies over the past 19 years reports that while the median tenure of a CEO has been five years, 19 per cent of all CEOs remain in position for 10 or more years, consistently, over the time period analyzed.

Despite disruption, intense competition and eager investors, the median tenure within the group is 14 years with these long serving CEOs who also have better performance, and are less likely to be forced out than not long serving CEOs. By region, North American CEOs hold a significant margin in the probability of becoming a long term CEO at 30 per cent, followed by Western Europe at 19 per cent, Japan and the BRI countries (Brazil, Russia and India) at nine per cent and China at seven per cent.

2018 also showed a rise in the share of CEOs who were forced out of their positions for ethical lapses. In fact, more CEOs (39 per cent) were forced out for ethical lapses rather than financial performance or board struggles, a first in the study’s history.  This number rose 50 per cent as compared to 26 per cent in 2017.

Rough road ahead

Successors to long serving CEOs are not faring as well as they are likely to have shorter tenures, worse performance and more often forced out of office than the CEOs they replaced. Nearly half of successor CEOs moved down a performance quartile or more as compared to their predecessors. 69 per cent of successors who replaced a long serving CEO in the top performance quartile ended up in the bottom two performance quartiles.

“Succeeding long-serving CEOs is clearly very challenging,” said Per-Ola Karlsson, partner and leader of the firm’s people and organization practice in the Middle East. “Their successors typically both deliver lower returns to shareholders and are noticeably more likely to be dismissed than the legend they succeeded as well as their peers.”

CEO turnover in 2018

CEO turnover rose notably in every region in 2018 except China, and included a large increase in Western Europe. Turnover was highest in “other mature” economies (such as Australia, Chile, and Poland), at 21.9 per cent, and nearly as high in Brazil, Russia, and India (21.6 per cent). The next-highest turnover numbers were in Western Europe (19.8 per cent), and the lowest were in North America (14.7 per cent).

Among industries, turnover was highest in communication services companies (24.5 per cent), followed by materials (22.3 per cent) and energy (19.7 per cent). Healthcare saw the lowest rate of CEO turnover in 2018, at 11.6 per cent

Women at the Top

The share of incoming women CEOs was 4.9 per cent down slightly from the record high of 6.0 per cent in 2017.  However, the trend has been upward since the low point of 1.0 per cent in 2008.  Unlike in 2017 when the record high was driven by a 9.3 per cent spike in incoming CEOs in the US and Canada, the largest percentages in 2018 originated in Brazil, Russia, India and China and other emerging countries. The utilities industry had the largest share of women CEOs at 9.5 per cent followed by Communication Services and Financial Services at 7.5 and 7.4 per cent respectively.  – TradeArabia News Service




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