ME/Africa housing demand to reach 13m units by 2018
New York, July 27, 2014
New dwelling demand in the Africa/ Middle East region is expected to reach 13 million units in 2018 with an annual growth of 3.7 percent, according to a report.
The Freedonia research report, World Housing, said the demand will be supported by above average population growth and household formation.
Worldwide construction of new housing units is projected to reach 62 million in 2018 on 3.2 percent yearly advances from 2013, it said.
Although global population growth is expected to decelerate over the forecast period, declines in average household size will support 1.6 percent annual growth in the number of households, which will in turn boost demand for new housing.
Changes in population distribution, primarily due to rural-to-urban migration, will also bolster demand for new housing units in urban areas, it said.
Through 2018 construction of multi-family housing units is projected to outpace that of single-family housing units. Rural-to-urban migration will be particularly strong in the Asia/Pacific region, which will drive regional demand for housing in urban areas, the report said.
Worldwide, construction of new multifamily units will increase 3.5 percent annually through 2018 to 26.2 million units, with 70 percent of growth taking place in the Asia/Pacific region. Nevertheless, in that region and worldwide, single-family dwellings will continue to make up the majority of new housing units.
The average size of a new housing unit fell to 89 sq m in 2008 and remained at that size in 2013 due to the sharp declines in new unit completions in North America and Western Europe, where units tend to be larger. The average new dwelling size is forecast to expand to 93 sq m in 2018. Two factors will support this growth: rising personal incomes, particularly in developing countries, and recovering residential construction in developed regions to close to historical levels.
In general, new units will be larger than existing units, reflective of rising standards of living across the globe.
The report also said developed countries that suffered dramatic declines in residential construction around the time of the 2009 global economic recession are forecast to exhibit the fastest gains in construction of new housing units through 2018, though growth will typically be from a depressed 2013 base.
North America can expect annual advances of 7.9 percent while Western Europe can expect a 6.1 percent per annum increase in construction of new housing units.
The largest absolute gains in construction of new housing units are expected to be in the Asia/Pacific and Africa/Mideast regions. The Asia/Pacific region, led by China, is projected to be home to over three-fifths of the new dwellings constructed in the world in 2018. Between 2013 and 2018, new unit construction will increase by 4.8 million units to 38.5 million on 2.7 percent annual growth.
Details on these and other key findings are contained in the Freedonia industry study, World Housing. It presents historical demand data for 2003, 2008 and 2013, as well as forecasts for 2018 and 2023 for housing stock and new housing units by type (single-family, multifamily), world region and for 22 major countries. - TradeArabia News Service