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Dubai residential sector ... likely to stabilise further.

Dubai housing rents stable, sales down in Q3

DUBAI, September 7, 2015

The average rentals within the residential segment in Dubai, UAE, remained stable during the third quarter, even as the sales rates declined around two per cent from the previous quarter and around six per cent year-on-year, said a report.

The market is highly fragmented with some affordable locations achieving growth, whilst other areas experienced more pronounced drops, according to the latest Dubai market report by global real estate adviser CBRE.

Mat Green, the head of research and consultancy (UAE) at CBRE Middle East, said: "While global economics have reduced investor sentiment and partially impacted Dubai’s residential sales, the slowdown is largely attributed to a price correction resulting from market stabilisation."

"In light of lower activity, developers are incentivising sales by offering more flexible payment plans, some of which are back-loaded and provide post-handover payment options," he stated.

Commenting on the outlook, Green said, “The residential sector is likely to continue to stabilise in the coming months. Nearly 20,000 new units could enter the market during the course of the year, much of which will be located in the secondary submarkets of Dubailand."

"The market will see a higher proportion of residential projects being launched at lower price points, inducing the drive to affordability in the sales market. This is a positive trend and will help prevent a bigger correction in the future," observed Green.

The office segment, on the other hand, has witnessed steady rental conditions amid limited supply growth and pending market maturity. Prime office rents remained unchanged for the sixth consecutive quarter, while secondary locations have witnessed marginal growth, said the report by CBRE.

Single-held quality office assets continue to generate high demand from corporate occupiers, although the market is being held back by the lack of good quality supply being delivered.

This will start to change from 2016, with the delivery of One JLT and Dubai Trade Centre District Building C1, both of which have generated high levels of pre-leasing activity, which broadly reflects the maturing nature of the Dubai market, stated the report.

On the hotel scenario, the expert said Dubai was experiencing softer performance due to fluctuations in the global currency markets and geopolitical challenges.

The currency devaluation in some of Dubai’s primary source markets has pressured demand, causing ADR (average daily rates) to decline seven per cent year-to-date to $227. This corresponded to an eight per cent drop in hotel room revenues, which was further suppressed by lower occupancy levels.

“Despite the decline, average occupancy levels across the hotel market during the first seven months of 2015 remained relatively buoyant at 77 per cent. However, Dubai’s robust pipeline of hotels could place additional pressure on average rates, impacting hotel performance in the short run,” said Green.

The hospitality sector is likely to see subdued performance until the end of the year, largely due to weak global currency markets that have impacted tourism demand.

Dubai is being challenged by a diversion of tourism to more affordable regional destinations, while the robust pipeline of rooms could place additional pressure on supply and demand dynamics in the coming years, he stated.

According to Green, the retail sector has recorded steady performance during the first three quarters, with major shopping malls demonstrating high occupancies along with stable lease rates.

Strong consumer demand from UAE residents and international tourists has functioned as a catalyst for the sector’s growth.

Dubai is now home to 56 per cent of the world’s retail brands, ranking second only after London in terms of global brand coverage. Development activity remains buoyant with 620,000 sq m of leasable area set to enter the market in the coming four years.

Community malls and expansions of existing shopping centres comprised the majority of new openings in 2015, including the Golden Mile Galleria recently opened on Palm Jumeirah.

"A growing resident population combined with high per capita income have contributed to robust growth within the retail sector. Dubai remains a top destination for retailers, functioning as a gateway city for brands seeking to establish a presence in the region," he stated.

However, on the consumer side, reduced economic sentiment amid lower oil prices, coupled with lower tourism demand could constrain spending from residents and tourists alike,” added Green.-TradeArabia News Service




Tags: Dubai | CBRE | housing rents |

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