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S&P affirms stable outlook on Saudi Arabia

DUBAI, September 27, 2020

S&P Global Ratings recently affirmed stable outlook for Saudi Arabia, indicating that S&P expects the kingdom’s relatively strong government and external balance sheets to continue to support the ratings.

S&P also affirmed its 'A-/A-2' unsolicited long- and short-term foreign and local currency sovereign credit ratings on Saudi Arabia.

Key takeaways

•    Low oil prices and the COVID-19 pandemic are taking a toll on Saudi Arabia's economy and budget; GDP is forecast to contract by 4.5% in 2020, and the general government fiscal deficit to rise to at 11% of GDP. However, from 2021 onward, GDP growth, oil prices, and oil volume exports are expected to rebound as global conditions improve
•    S&P Global Ratings’ estimate of Saudi Arabia's relatively strong net asset position on both its fiscal and external balances is still a key support to the rating. Nevertheless, prolonged low oil prices and demand will likely erode its net asset position over the ratings horizon
•    In S&P’s view, the balance of risks is appropriate at the current rating. Therefore, they affirm their 'A-/A-2' long- and short-term sovereign credit ratings on Saudi Arabia. – TradeArabia News Service


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