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Rosling ... population trends.

Dubai 'will become centre of the world by 2100'

DUBAI, February 10, 2015

Dubai will become the centre of the world by 2100, a position held by London now, based on an analysis of emerging trends in population growth,  according to an expert.

Dr Hans Rosling, co-founder of Gapminder, was quoted by Wam news agency as saying at the Government Summit in Dubai today that 80 per cent of the world's population will be in Asia and Africa by 2050 and Dubai is at the centre of these two continents.

Dr Rosling was speaking on the topic, ‘The Big Data Revolution: Tranforming Raw Data into Future Insights', on the starting day of the three-day summit.

Out of the current 7 billion people in the world today, one billion live in the Americas, one billion in Africa, one billion in Europe and four billion in Asia, Dr Rosling said. Analysing UN data on population, he estimated that by 2050 Europe’s population will take severe hit in the absence of new births. At the same time, Asia would experience 25 per cent growth in population while in Africa the growth would be 100 per cent.

"By year 2100, America would have less than 10 per cent of the world’s population while 80 per cent of the population would be in Africa and Asia. The surge in population growth in Africa and Asia would make Dubai the centre of the world by 2100," Dr Rosling predicted.

Providing further insights based on available data, Dr Rosling said the world is moving towards healthier children.

"While in the 1800s a couple had on an average eight children of which only four survived as a result of harsh living conditions, by 1900s out of six children four survived. However, the new balance in 2012 shows every couple having only two children with both the children surviving," Dr Rosling said.

The world over, in all countries, two-child families has become the norm. "Families and governments are today keen on supporting the young population with education and better facilities. The emerging market of the world is the young couple in any country with their ambitions and dreams. These young couples are the driving force behind the changes in the world," Dr Rosling said.

Dr Rosling commended the UAE for making rapid strides in reducing infant mortality and moving to the forefront of development in a short period of time. "The UAE has modernised the country to achieve the latest developments in every field while at the same time keeping its traditions and values alive," Dr Rosling said.

Organised under the theme ‘Shaping Future Governments’, the Government Summit in Dubai is being held from February 9 to 11, 2015, to discuss the future of government services in the world.




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